The potential roads to recovery from African swine fever in China

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African swine fever (ASF) is endemic in China. Nonetheless, many forecasts expect Chinese pork production to be on the way to recovery by the middle of the coming decade.

As part of the EU medium-term outlook, the European Commission has produced two scenarios for China’s ASF recovery – one slower, and one faster. The scenarios assume there is no usable vaccine available before 2021.