Welsh Suckler Herd Shrinks by 40% Since 2000
Welsh Suckler Herd Drops 40% Over Two Decades
The Welsh suckler herd has declined by nearly 40% over the past 20 years, raising serious concerns about the long-term sustainability of beef production in Wales and the wider UK.
According to analysis highlighted by Farmers Weekly, the number of Welsh suckler herds fell to 6,595 in 2023, down sharply from early-2000s levels. The contraction reflects a combination of rising production costs, regulatory pressure, labour shortages and declining confidence among beef producers.
NFU Cymru has warned that the loss of critical mass is now threatening the viability of the Welsh beef supply chain, from farm businesses through to processors and rural employment. In response, the union has launched a new report calling for urgent and targeted government intervention to stabilise and rebuild the suckler sector.
The report also highlights broader implications for UK food security. Projections suggest the UK beef supply shortfall could widen to 278,000 tonnes by 2030 if domestic production continues to decline. Industry leaders warn this would increase reliance on imports at a time when global beef markets are becoming more volatile.
NFU Cymru argues that suckler herds play a vital role in utilising marginal land, supporting biodiversity and maintaining rural communities. Without policy support that recognises these wider benefits, further contraction is likely.
Source: Farmers Weekly | 6 February 2026
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