Brazil Nears China Beef Quota as Exports Surge
Brazil Beef Exports to China Near Quota Limit
Brazil’s beef exports to China are rapidly approaching their annual quota, raising the prospect of a supply gap later in the year.
By February 2026, shipments had reached 372,100 tonnes, accounting for over a third of the 1.1 million tonne quota, with export volumes and values rising sharply year-on-year.
Total exports in the first two months of 2026 climbed 22% in volume and 39% in value, reflecting strong Chinese demand for imported beef.
Analysts expect the quota to be filled between May and July, after which tariffs of up to 55% would apply, potentially slowing trade and creating a Q3 export gap.
Brazil is likely to redirect supply to alternative markets including Japan, the US, Vietnam and the EU during any pause, before China returns to the market under the next quota cycle.
Source: DatamarNews | 2 April 2026
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